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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111739

Gudja United VS St. Andrews

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.53%
Draw
25.82%
Away
33.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6712
Log loss
1.0892

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
4575bd60e6a47e37235de38eeb931f1b75a59578b8f22a90ea3d1867e33781fb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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