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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111432

Järfälla VS Umeå FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.71%
Draw
22.68%
Away
46.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
866026e01b7680f68227682b959faafcc40ec5305d8685dd4032441f126a18fd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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