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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111423

Selangor VS Imigresen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
86.10%
Draw
9.28%
Away
4.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.6597
Log loss
3.0748

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fa57e61ad25500a04f94da814dc42176405946a497aff55ed1ddc39e43bb0863

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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