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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111267

Eker Örebro VS Forward

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
13.88%
Draw
17.28%
Away
68.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2454
Log loss
1.9747

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
49aaf6d0eae12bca20230058e8284262ccb70831db0a2dfc3608b80f10a0e6fa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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