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Frozen pre-match forecast · #111164

BC Rangers VS Warriors

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.36%
Draw
18.28%
Away
69.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1426
Log loss
0.3659

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
d78d546bd48b91f46e5653d349520123f3c0eb88a5492827c29983db8369a124

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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