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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110827

Radomlje VS Koper

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.19%
Draw
23.18%
Away
54.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9378
Log loss
1.4619

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
461ea4b57ba97407d3678e06c56f8217c8869d12f49cf5022b642a8b7d9caa1d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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