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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110634

Ohrid VS Akademija Pandev

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.42%
Draw
25.36%
Away
26.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8603
Log loss
1.3719

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
d482d6b7be72b10147d6bc16c403b3dd2bb00b3d9b169f3ac09d6487e9923032

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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