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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110621

Osipovichy VS Volna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.21%
Draw
23.09%
Away
39.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8876
Log loss
1.4658

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
c79a787c40e9c07dd1cd5263b8254b05f1d6ea4e5c48c0ae116f67e9b1c998fc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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