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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110260

Trident VS NAPSA Stars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.89%
Draw
32.19%
Away
32.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6900
Log loss
1.1336

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
db513753efde3bb785e71d40fcbab9e8a4e9be2a9e76873d8b8a8e834f346015

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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