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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110196

Yambol 1915 VS Sekirovo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
82.51%
Draw
11.61%
Away
5.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.4655
Log loss
2.1533

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
52202c74e0c1129b7608d38781d7677a2491b5ba2733ece92d6303c10e57030d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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