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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110150

B 93 VS Middelfart

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.44%
Draw
24.36%
Away
27.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3992
Log loss
0.7248

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
101d0d1d65316b4036d3fe298e40545ea4fa6f7d882083185a6d47c489f0821f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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