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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110089

Byåsen VS Nardo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.03%
Draw
19.93%
Away
25.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9045
Log loss
1.3847

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
bf4f2239df17b0b11af437b2a3213d7467859493a14814a99dcc9f2382e5b7bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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