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Frozen pre-match forecast · #110070

Halkanoras VS Doxa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.43%
Draw
26.44%
Away
28.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.7928
Log loss
1.2683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
1813aa935dd067dbe884cb896c151a5f6cff271e6be6dbefa3801a1b8fc4603c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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