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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109967

Täfteå VS Boden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.45%
Draw
19.42%
Away
20.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0411
Log loss
1.6030

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
a850556cea0cc6b9adfe561c3a671f9caa27b3f3a60d49b3190743c9a57b1e1e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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