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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109848

Sotra VS Kvik Halden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.20%
Draw
17.86%
Away
12.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1435
Log loss
0.3682

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
564aa38f07a42990b58f86ae9f367f26101b225d60bfd5830f83a885c4b67a28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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