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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109812

Khovd Western VS Hunters

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.95%
Draw
11.52%
Away
79.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0632
Log loss
0.2290

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
51405bda918c96e4d8ef41832477aeded8e625779a1a261beb57df047cf32ff0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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