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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109704

Bekasi City VS PSGC Ciamis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.98%
Draw
24.79%
Away
20.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3051
Log loss
0.5982

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e775eba42a889c95f7f3e7dec990dd72d05b4abfd7fe29ef47b0c0dcda9ff830

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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