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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109349

Viettel VS Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.33%
Draw
25.96%
Away
15.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1179
Log loss
1.8503

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a3a0804f95fc30db8dfc3aeed89b4ece33019e8e264c81368c5758544c92cca7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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