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Frozen pre-match forecast · #109041

Ratchaburi VS Ho Chi Minh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.04%
Draw
21.74%
Away
19.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9980
Log loss
1.5260

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
7cd50b09118d51971941e3cfed48ad5e5a2b1f9546c3a8b2eb7000d4953e52f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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