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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108972

Stanway Rovers VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.91%
Draw
21.02%
Away
60.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2394
Log loss
0.5097

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
47e1b8e295d71b67c3075f68cb6091b1b98fa46678ed1af34de05db5c6e7a593

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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