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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108752

Andorra U21 VS Slovakia U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.18%
Draw
15.64%
Away
75.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0945
Log loss
0.2853

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
fb75a0ea8e92240b350df5200863b5d4b965f5774dbfa513aa178c003cedaf1a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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