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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108739

Wydad AC VS Amal Tiznit

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.51%
Draw
24.26%
Away
14.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9722
Log loss
1.4164

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
65bb897304a0c180677eb43bfebe5fdd0ba7a89e9121297a652bb2949df8565f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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