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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108640

Trollhättan VS Mjallby AIF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.08%
Draw
18.79%
Away
67.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.2241
Log loss
1.9603

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
06 Oct 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
0a1a0186ea63e339c637f39bc12f71f19c3212e3fba23d8180e97269afe12041

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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