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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108586

Jong Utrecht VS Roda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.08%
Draw
25.21%
Away
37.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
abe46d1b920d9d3eee6411675b90a4cf38063f9c39df84ee451682daebb57a91

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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