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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108581

Enppi VS El Mokawloon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.84%
Draw
30.67%
Away
36.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6053
Log loss
1.0081

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 18:01 UTC
SHA-256
34d9bce88ea26983e50f7be28c8a209d05468aca8ccaa189b38d9bd522e264f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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