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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108410

Al Salt VS Al Faisaly

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.19%
Draw
24.91%
Away
55.90%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2934
Log loss
0.5816

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
f24a6d2e854016b7aea149162f68c5e8e7fa87d520403fe6ed5a41ee64ff7781

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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