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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108310

Tympaki VS Giouchtas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.70%
Draw
25.86%
Away
39.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8256
Log loss
1.3525

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
aa5a1d3c8a4dda6f4c13581625ea1e1f1dd9f12f2b76165e79baf7e582fc5a21

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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