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Frozen pre-match forecast · #108142

Deportes Copiapo VS Cobreloa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.23%
Draw
25.84%
Away
35.93%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5774
Log loss
0.9615

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
89025f95d9a6280e79919d6e9cdb5d51b1952191d92918f7611a0f0d89779bd7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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