Frozen pre-match forecast · #108079
Unión Adarve VS Móstoles
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 36.75%
- Draw
- 26.92%
- Away
- 36.33%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6045
- Log loss
- 1.0010
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- 1b61131e263930008b90c70464ab0152d0a670876313c708cd2e34f432e94251
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.