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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107959

Bylis VS FK Kukesi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.35%
Draw
18.17%
Away
8.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1112
Log loss
0.3099

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
f7da3552e607cc31d2ed8648c2ded34078cb09c500619dc2825ff6a106601105

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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