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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107908

Vllaznia Shkodër VS Dinamo Tirana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.20%
Draw
25.33%
Away
53.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9710
Log loss
1.5512

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
cac7dfe25b57b9e3ab44238dbf6514cc4cbbf11ca90d869bc74c0e8ac0933413

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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