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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107873

Coruxo VS Compostela

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.53%
Draw
22.07%
Away
13.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.2151
Log loss
2.0099

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
4d331db1261e1131d50a9371aeb59bdcaeabb58642cd544e3bed271e35cb7673

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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