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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107786

Santa Clara U19 VS Benfica U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.93%
Draw
21.01%
Away
57.06%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9792
Log loss
1.5173

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
e97c9e598da1da106c22473fccdfe0e55910c6f08cdfeb6968505c5a40bbe650

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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