Frozen pre-match forecast · #107751
Assyriska FF VS FBK Karlstad
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 35.43%
- Draw
- 23.15%
- Away
- 41.42%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6421
- Log loss
- 1.0376
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
- SHA-256
- 44522f1c836c08eabb6ba0d73366b12f7b946a36a1c89d8e2bf20b1565d9e611
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.