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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107648

Millesimo VS Borgosesia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.40%
Draw
27.34%
Away
23.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3849
Log loss
0.7052

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
3a90c7d3d43afd83995f3ca440663e55f070413f8fbeac5aa990811496755c7a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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