Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #10741

Clachnacuddin VS Ross County

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:12 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.15%
Draw
33.23%
Away
40.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.5315
Log loss
0.9011

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:12 UTC
SHA-256
38c51c900efe0b91fe0a64f59d67e413b2142f4bba635737a7cf5f6b694001d6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →