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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10731

Rijnvogels VS Vvsb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:12 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.43%
Draw
33.23%
Away
30.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7284
Log loss
1.1927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:12 UTC
SHA-256
3b3ac4f5b5ab49cfe99ed3e5166673d89d690c757542f1fcdd159d8fde4e6f31

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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