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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107292

Malženice VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
11 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.78%
Draw
26.44%
Away
40.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.5281
Log loss
0.8970

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
b053cbed2f9364bd90af863d9039e414a8be8c03a6424a7ceeb9cd02bfd5a82d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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