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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107169

Huachipato VS O'Higgins

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.92%
Draw
25.65%
Away
41.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6874
Log loss
1.1111

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a0cde5818e06072bbdde022433cd93a4570a995e09f7024d2bf80d875210cae0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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