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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107106

Mirandes VS Zamora

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.72%
Draw
27.75%
Away
26.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8014
Log loss
1.2819

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
4a04b54d94bccf426c6c9aa6e2665a361a788345367178a69a585257fdc805ba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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