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Frozen pre-match forecast · #107099

Zulte Waregem VS Gent

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.66%
Draw
27.13%
Away
39.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5564
Log loss
0.9362

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
5e14d17cd06b6a591cfaca210c88625b3273ab616e05a45a4ad4e78203802e72

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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