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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106998

Hobro VS Kolding IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.14%
Draw
26.95%
Away
39.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8027
Log loss
1.3112

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
951339e99d73a3940167182399c7ea3598aa2d131e09932873fb4d05fa0c00b7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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