Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #106911

Arzignano Valchiampo VS Juventus U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.79%
Draw
24.30%
Away
19.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2941
Log loss
0.5836

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
e66b1f54455dda3ae8ff00efebc702db9c9d2bfb9ac411e9fcce1a8ab241b75b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →