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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106790

Yantra 2019 VS Vihren

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.52%
Draw
27.62%
Away
35.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6079
Log loss
1.0073

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
e899503403c6cf7aff47f242825b9f269eb41d5861ebe33ffd56801eaab075ce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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