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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106780

ROW Rybnik VS Ślęza Wrocław

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.63%
Draw
19.96%
Away
21.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2568
Log loss
0.5339

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
27ec8519cbbdc362f5185251a239c07f95d9707cf55231af56c0098e46c24b17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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