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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106493

Dundee Utd VS Hibernian

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.87%
Draw
24.81%
Away
39.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6274
Log loss
1.0253

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
5ae44a2af6da43a0adc767b42a2d5be25a0b76d60d6d3bb8362cbe305d3db982

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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