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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106336

Vitez VS Posušje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.93%
Draw
28.56%
Away
44.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4621
Log loss
0.8096

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e827c05108a54c4fe9fff1800bd45a97765f6f37e4fe4bfb00f6b65f1c6b26f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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