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Frozen pre-match forecast · #10633

RTC VS Tsirang

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.42%
Draw
34.31%
Away
21.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4719
Log loss
0.8115

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
SHA-256
0b996de95bf698548ef69e61e6005841cdf103738b7f280ad695ffe8355e3b01

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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