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Frozen pre-match forecast · #106193

Ayia Napa VS Enosis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.70%
Draw
24.75%
Away
52.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3379
Log loss
0.6434

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
4a55fe8fdca918a6374cec59b68a6ae2684340dd391926dcf3dcf8fe5f520fea

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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