Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #106171

Ždírec nad Doubravou VS FS Třebíč

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.11%
Draw
24.29%
Away
31.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8676
Log loss
1.4151

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
05 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
2b32a866dd06c0a594c668bb0f9dd10f404dce0d57494dd65f0f954adc9ab93b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →